No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $159.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $165.21
Polymarket Trader
scarletea
0xd72c7f6b7680e1b124a8442e2ced17da8cff0bc7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $652.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$82
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.12
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.9
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.8
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.51
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.78
No position
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.3
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
No position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 88% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 82% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 71% 300 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 83% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 80% 100 shares
- Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No 4.3% 30 shares
- Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No 4.2% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 85.3% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 91% 100 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 89.4% 25.49 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 98.4% 400 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 85% 150 shares