Polymarket Trader

Jokep

0xd759f2d07b52b8f4442768696edc956ebd6c00fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $281.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.45K
Potential profit: $27.45K
User PnL: -$14.27K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Democrat position

Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.25

No position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future)

Ends Sep 12, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.42

Yes position

Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?

Ends Mar 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.13

Yes position

Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.96

Yes position

Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.14

Yes position

Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 5, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.05

Republican position

Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 52918.34x
User PnL: $11.3

Yes position

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.3% or higher on January 7?

Ends Jan 8, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

Democrat position

Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

Yes position

Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater?

Ends Dec 6, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

No position

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Democrat position

Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1047751.59x
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater?

Ends Dec 6, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 9872.17x
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023?

Ends Mar 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Democrat position

Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023?

Ends Jan 6, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 50.6% 8,671.25 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 50.7% 8,748.58 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 54.9% 7,918.5 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 49% 20.41 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

No 52% 2,093.15 shares
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday?

Yes 91.8% 160.07 shares
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?

No 22.1% 452.39 shares
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?

Yes 74.6% 95.3 shares
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 46.3% 354.87 shares
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023?

No 86% 11.63 shares
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 47% 21.28 shares
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023?

Yes 25% 40 shares