Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Polymarket Trader
fantastic55
0xd75af87133fc14de68cd83a9e8c5d999fa49fdec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.55K
- Realized PnL
- $19.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $414.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $643.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$154.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- User PnL
- -$237.64
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$273.68
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$443.5
Yes position
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$881.62
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$182.15
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $543.87
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $512.19
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $10.02
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $970.84
- Potential profit
- $970.84
- User PnL
- -$63.2
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $11.05
- Potential payout
- $920.81
- Potential profit
- $909.76
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$156.93
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $712.36
- Potential profit
- $712.36
- User PnL
- -$78.36
No position
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.39
- Potential profit
- $632.39
- User PnL
- -$449
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $578.58
- Potential profit
- $578.58
- User PnL
- -$46.77
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $141.65
- Potential payout
- $555.5
- Potential profit
- $413.85
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $19.44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $486.34
- Potential profit
- $486.34
- User PnL
- -$67.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.5
- Potential profit
- $323.5
- User PnL
- -$93.82
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $236.91
- Potential profit
- $235.84
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$40.16
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $86.76
- Potential payout
- $231.37
- Potential profit
- $144.61
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $23.62
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213.9
- Potential profit
- $213.9
- User PnL
- -$50.87
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $73.56
- Potential payout
- $196.17
- Potential profit
- $122.61
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $160.18
- Potential payout
- $191.83
- Potential profit
- $31.65
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $68.17
Yes position
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.92
- Potential profit
- $158.92
- User PnL
- -$17.96
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Current value
- $49.19
- Potential payout
- $128.76
- Potential profit
- $79.57
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- $32.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.24
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.33
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.79
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.26
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.39
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $489.13
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 11?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.5
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.81
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.66
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.5
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.62
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.51
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.53
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.61
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.9
Yes position
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 410.51 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.7% 309.03 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.7% 11.58 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 7.86 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 7.91 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 146.34 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 4.37 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 44.71 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 29.38 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 282.26 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 38.92 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 250.95 shares