Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297.94
- Potential profit
- $297.94
- User PnL
- -$62.09
Polymarket Trader
Varyag
0xd75d96a23515172778d3281f53c9180b985100c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.84
- Realized PnL
- $20.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.7%
- Current value
- $72.75
- Potential payout
- $114.21
- Potential profit
- $41.46
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.85
- Potential profit
- $69.85
- User PnL
- -$46.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.74
- Potential profit
- $11.74
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
2025 January hottest on record?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.22
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $696.2
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.03
Yes position
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $528.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $452.79
Yes position
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.91
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.19
Yes position
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on August 20?
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.1
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 66% 114.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?No 32.4% 20.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?No 99.6% 115.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 12.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?Yes 90.4% 106.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?Yes 98.7% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?Yes 99.1% 46.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?Yes 58% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?Yes 36.1% 120 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 13?Yes 0.1% 106.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?No 40% 23.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?Yes 58% 23 shares