Polymarket Trader

twinedon

0xd76831c8f839768bb85f9ba57029f3b7a0f15b7f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$13.46
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will ProMint win the Aster trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Romanson win the Aster trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will Coin Muhendisi win the Aster trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

No 0.7% 800 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 6.7% 110.99 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 4.5% 31 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

No 0.5% 400 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?

No 0.5% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 6% 17 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 47.55 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 10% 28.66 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 11% 28.67 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 47.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Yes 11% 19.12 shares