Polymarket Trader

MisFatty

0xd76e083691c499573b198e84ae210a0815786083

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.1K
Realized PnL: $3.09K
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $5.02K
Potential payout: $8.43K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $272.79

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $806.58
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $293.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$129.89

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$19.4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $470
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.67
Potential profit: $196.67
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.71
Potential profit: $163.71
User PnL: -$39.29

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$16.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $129.99
User PnL: -$22.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $340.57

Up position

Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.09

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98

Real Madrid position

Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.77

Yes position

Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?

Ends May 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.53

Barcelona position

Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.09

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.08

Barcelona position

Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.71

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$119.09

Yes position

Will Spain beat Portugal?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$149.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 24% 163.71 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 42.7% 6,819.31 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 37% 10 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 20.8% 4,802.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Down 31.9% 97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Down 36% 97 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 346.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Up 1% 928.72 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 47.6% 2,499.59 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 34% 309.09 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 1,400 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 43% 1,760.73 shares