No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.83K
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $310.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $434.69
Polymarket Trader
0xd774...cb8a
0xd774bc7dcec973281ac8d8a0bef1827b66d9cb8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $5.51K
- Realized PnL
- -$500.49
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $952.89
- Potential payout
- $963
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $729.07
- Potential payout
- $911.34
- Potential profit
- $182.27
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $18.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.5
No position
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.24
No position
Will Celtic FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.44
No position
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.4
No position
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.25
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Paris Basketball
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.46
No position
Will FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.98
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $59.5
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $55.5
No position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $16.18
No position
Will Finland join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$487.5
No position
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$935.28
No position
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$992.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 130 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 97% 103 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 226 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 97% 730 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 28 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 99% 747.97 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 97% 95 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 97.6% 86.99 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 97% 5 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 15.01 shares
- US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 97.5% 20 shares
- X banned in any European country by December 31?No 59% 5 shares