Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $37.95
- Potential payout
- $118.58
- Potential profit
- $80.64
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Polymarket Trader
0xd7763a262afF098A37CD3266adDfbc3d8E708c9A-1710071334594
0xd7763a262aff098a37cd3266addfbc3d8e708c9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.98
- Realized PnL
- $52.97
- Win rate
- 78.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.43
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.48
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 2.2 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 33.7% 118.58 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?Yes 83% 24.1 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes 99.9% 94.64 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes 66.1% 1.51 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes 61.1% 32.73 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes 85.2% 58.68 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 87% 10.71 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?Yes 11.5% 163.91 shares
- Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?Yes 6.2% 42.93 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?Yes 31.4% 31.85 shares