No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $246.44
- Potential payout
- $529.99
- Potential profit
- $283.54
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$98.05
Polymarket Trader
elkoslao
0xd77e964a81ba54c083d7e761be5367be378b43b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $415.03
- Realized PnL
- $483.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $168.58
- Potential payout
- $210.86
- Potential profit
- $42.28
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$15.87
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.13
- Potential profit
- $193.13
- User PnL
- -$160.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.93
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.06
Yes position
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.05
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.62
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.16
No position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.72
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $13.92
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?No 21.4% 1 shares
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No 76% 111 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 87% 260 shares
- Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 35 shares
- Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes 59% 30 shares
- Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes 62% 85.83 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 39% 105 shares