Polymarket Trader

0xd787...7c12

0xd78722b6369e63973ec4b680eae115663d0f7c12

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $70.4
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $260.63
Potential profit: $259.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $236.66
Potential profit: $235.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.17

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $145.69
Potential profit: $145.04
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.68
Potential payout: $121.42
Potential profit: $114.74
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.32

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $91.09
Potential profit: $89.41
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $8.27
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $82.64
Multiplier: 10.99x
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $57.79
Potential profit: $48.55
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $38.57
Potential profit: $37.2
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $33.24
Potential profit: $32.81
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $27.99
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $22.69
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $22.1
Potential profit: $22.04
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.94

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $14.84
Potential profit: $12.54
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.65
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $11.65

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $10.17
Potential profit: $7.68
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.51

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.67
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5.27
Potential profit: $5.24
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $1.54
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 8.5% 11.76 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 18.5% 5.41 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 8.5% 11.76 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 46% 22.72 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Up 7.9% 12.66 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Down 89% 3.57 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Down 56% 3.57 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Down 40% 5 shares
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

No 45% 2.22 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares