Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.15K
- Potential profit
- $9.15K
- User PnL
- -$48.92
Polymarket Trader
goldfinch-cz
0xd7a4f46d4811a8c6f9e71a773eb38bd441588229
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.78
- Realized PnL
- $359.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Petra Marcinko position
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Kraus
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Nuggets position
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$194
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $176.73
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $528.03
- Potential profit
- $528.03
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $471.26
- Potential profit
- $470.08
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.82
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.03
- Potential profit
- $346.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $181
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.63
- Potential profit
- $162.63
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $78.04
- Potential payout
- $162.58
- Potential profit
- $84.54
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$26.96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.37
- Potential profit
- $152.37
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.7
- Potential profit
- $135.7
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.92
- Potential profit
- $105.92
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.16
- Potential profit
- $103.16
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.77
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $72.69
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.12
- Potential profit
- $67.12
- User PnL
- -$9.57
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.03
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.84
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 10% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 30% 33.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 30% 33.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 30% 33.33 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No 20% 50 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?No 20% 50 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 67.7% 7.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 5% 4,000 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15% 62.5 shares