Polymarket Trader

teddi

0xd7a6b6bde3240cfee2aa888b425f01447103bfc7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $855.66
Realized PnL: $767.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $22.94
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $19.78

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $921.06
Potential profit: $910.01
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $68
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $782
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$43

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $400.66
Potential payout: $457.9
Potential profit: $57.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $87.19

No position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $152.44
Potential payout: $390.87
Potential profit: $238.43
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$98.37

Yes position

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $195.86
Potential profit: $172.36
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$16.07

Yes position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $134.93
Potential profit: $133.71
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$29.28

No position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $105.29
Potential payout: $132.43
Potential profit: $27.15
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $92.48
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $50.29
Potential profit: $40.99
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$11.05

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $17.37
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.64
Potential payout: $15.07
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.25

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.96

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.43

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $65.81

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.96

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.42

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.74

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $10.62

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.46

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $7.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 73% 15.07 shares
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

No 75.5% 132.43 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 31% 9.68 shares
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 1% 307.02 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 61% 55.74 shares
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 33% 104.92 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 61% 47.54 shares
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

No 67% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Down 99% 8.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Down 50% 8.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Up 27% 6.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Up 54% 6.93 shares