No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Polymarket Trader
0xd7bd...de67
0xd7bd90a517b7d9c7981bd432ad9db765a757de67
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $106.67
- Realized PnL
- $3.27
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.49
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.62
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $10.59
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $7.26
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 69% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.3% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 92.5% 9 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 15% 12 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.7% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 54.4% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 8 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 8 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 7.3% 24 shares