No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $180.94
- Potential payout
- $309.3
- Potential profit
- $128.36
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$29.06
Polymarket Trader
Unius
0xd7d566a74c0f0289bc4ea0e80659e54a0ffa3e8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $328.41
- Realized PnL
- $178.96
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $229.17
- Potential profit
- $226.07
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $164.77
- Potential profit
- $161.64
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.64
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.81
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $86.67
- Potential payout
- $103.17
- Potential profit
- $16.51
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $22.67
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $81.63
- Potential profit
- $80.37
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $80.52
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $47.05
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.19
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.64
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33.8
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $34.04
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $30.17
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $28.39
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.13
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $28.33
- Potential profit
- $28.23
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $22.31
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.61
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $14.12
- Potential payout
- $20.02
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $16.44
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.19
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.76
No position
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.22
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Energy" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will Trump say "Angela" or "Merkel" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will BSW be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will FDP be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 59.5% 84.02 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 67.5% 140.65 shares
- Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Yes 0.1% 37.35 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 71.7% 34.87 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?No 99.3% 43.52 shares
- Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 11.1% 9 shares
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 7.7% 12.99 shares