Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Polymarket Trader
DuneTrader79
0xd7d6b87c67e6d6bc78879e45e1542c023d524336
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.24
- Realized PnL
- $595.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $52.71
- Potential payout
- $958.33
- Potential profit
- $905.63
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.29
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $357.33
- Potential profit
- $356.44
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $103.09
- Potential profit
- $88.2
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.72
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.4
Over position
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.81
Over position
Brazil vs. France: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.45
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.81
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.93
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 9.7% 103.09 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No 23% 7.14 shares
- Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes 28% 3.6 shares
- SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No 84% 3.24 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 94% 2.56 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?No 95% 1.19 shares
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No 96.5% 1.11 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 81% 5.79 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 87% 6.29 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 6% 833.33 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.6% 5.61 shares