No position
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $263.54
- Potential payout
- $331.49
- Potential profit
- $67.96
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $16.47
Polymarket Trader
GambleHelp
0xd7df101e5d97853403affd11a8b4f1f15a88c541
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $263.54
- Realized PnL
- $285.82
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.29
- Potential profit
- $254.29
- User PnL
- -$37.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.24
- Potential profit
- $84.24
- User PnL
- -$34.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.46
- Potential profit
- $16.46
- User PnL
- -$5.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.26
- Potential profit
- $12.26
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.85
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Canada recession before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No 88.8% 11.76 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 64% 8.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp 49% 5.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown 1% 65.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown 19% 49.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown 29% 16.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 26% 26.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 18% 26.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 23% 33.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 14% 33.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp 4% 5.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp 18% 5.23 shares