Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $17.19
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Polymarket Trader
0xd7e5...ca45
0xd7e5f6a80a5c260b3fe023543201ae3caa98ca45
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $32.95
- Realized PnL
- $19.46
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $8.02
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.92
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 72% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 33.5% 7.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 6.02 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 23% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 8.5 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?No 27% 6.81 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 20% 6.25 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 56.9% 8.02 shares