Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $86.11
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$213.88
Polymarket Trader
tradervader
0xd7e6416395c97509e33ff92e0a0a98bd0eff4f99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.31K
- Realized PnL
- $6.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.07K
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $898.11
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.6K
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $318.39
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $750.33
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$389.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $80.59
- Potential payout
- $3.77K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$19.41
No position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $403.07
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $617.29
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $64.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $159.86
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $872.94
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$127.06
No position
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $169.92
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $76.63
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $99.31
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $292
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$208
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $985.27
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $194.69
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $58.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $38.56
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $36.37
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $49.33
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $988.56
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $57.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $88.56
No position
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $33.43
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $971.71
- Potential payout
- $971.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $47.68
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $625.17
- Potential payout
- $780
- Potential profit
- $154.83
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $235.17
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $617.83
- Potential payout
- $617.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $239.04
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $594.56
- Potential payout
- $594.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $47.56
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $495.51
- Potential payout
- $556.44
- Potential profit
- $60.93
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
No position
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $538.62
- Potential payout
- $546.82
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $38.62
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $55.68
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $398.86
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$44.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.72
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.98
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.23
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.84
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.36
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.31
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.64
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.36
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.3
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.98
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.18
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.66
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.86
No position
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.54
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.52
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.65
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.9
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.38
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.25
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 24% 1,000 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 25% 4,000 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?No 91% 2,497.8 shares
- Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?No 90% 233.3 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No 96% 2,084.37 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No 90% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No 75% 355 shares
- Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?No 93% 860.22 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?No 88% 51 shares
- Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?No 88.5% 2,259.28 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No 80% 1,124.75 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No 79% 953.04 shares