Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Polymarket Trader
tdrhrhhd
@fortaellinger
0xd7f85d0eb0fe0732ca38d9107ad0d4d01b1289e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.57K
- Realized PnL
- $2.61M
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $50.64K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $64.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $20.68K
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $92.55K
- Potential profit
- $91.39K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $416.48
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $4.13K
- Potential payout
- $60.23K
- Potential profit
- $56.1K
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $28.85K
- Potential payout
- $45.43K
- Potential profit
- $16.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $20.67K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.27K
- Potential payout
- $40.43K
- Potential profit
- $34.17K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.53K
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $188.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $70.55
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$260.76
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $29.31
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $13.86
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $70.55
- Potential payout
- $262.74
- Potential profit
- $192.19
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $62.66
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46M
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.12K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.17K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.35K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.33K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.79K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.37K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $865.15
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $406.79
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $153.65
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.7
Hoffman position
Hoffman vs. Warwick
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.43
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
Ansem position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $13
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Yes position
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Base airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 40.6% 9,696.17 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 3% 582.98 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.1% 4,861.95 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 164,682.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 1% 2,452.38 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.3% 26,502.52 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 191,242.87 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayYes 15% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayYes 15% 1,507.38 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayYes 15.2% 5,067.57 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 32,292.84 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 18% 1,157.77 shares