No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.06
- Potential profit
- $185.06
- User PnL
- -$161
Polymarket Trader
bauey
0xd805d7ee8e4d1d5c02d82be0629a187416b7e64b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $156.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.12
- Potential profit
- $18.12
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.89
- Potential profit
- $15.89
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.92
- Potential profit
- $13.92
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.23
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 66.67 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.6% 32.97 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 93.5% 26.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 185.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 88% 160.23 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 96.1% 76.52 shares
- Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Yes 95.9% 18.77 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 40% 17.46 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 63% 17.46 shares
- Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?Yes 97.6% 23.55 shares
- Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Yes 69% 18.12 shares
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes 72% 13.89 shares