Polymarket Trader

IncomingG

0xd814fa7dd6cc2ca7ec519f236127e71d68f48329

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.59
Realized PnL: $113.88
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $3.99K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $941.8
Potential profit: $941.8
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $16.97
Potential payout: $424.17
Potential profit: $407.21
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.71
Potential profit: $412.71
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.21
Potential profit: $249.21
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.57
Potential profit: $228.57
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $9.16
Potential payout: $215.56
Potential profit: $206.39
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$23.84

Yes position

Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be at least 400k?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.47
Potential profit: $162.47
User PnL: -$29

No position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.61
Potential profit: $126.61
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.09
Potential profit: $104.09
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $93.81
Potential profit: $92.73
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$25.92

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 22.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.33
Potential profit: $53.33
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.94
Potential profit: $46.94
User PnL: -$28.16

Yes position

Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.79
Potential profit: $29.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $21.05
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.7

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $16.52
Potential payout: $19.32
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$4.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.41
Potential profit: $11.41
User PnL: -$4.79

No position

Will Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.31

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.36

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.34

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.09

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24

No position

Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 85.3% 45.06 shares
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 73% 64.38 shares
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 1.6% 1,578.83 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 4.8% 357.51 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 4.5% 66.67 shares
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 1.7% 573.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 60% 45.55 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Yes 37.8% 13.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 42% 10.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Up 1% 85.74 shares