No position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $909.53
- Potential payout
- $935.73
- Potential profit
- $26.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $607.75
Polymarket Trader
bshardy
0xd816393119a297874bff7304b9e222101f5a6c0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.28K
- Realized PnL
- $36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $219.66
- Potential payout
- $237.59
- Potential profit
- $17.94
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $36.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.3%
- Current value
- $147.15
- Potential payout
- $206.53
- Potential profit
- $59.38
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$31.21
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.4
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$16.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 76.9% 237.59 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 91% 100 shares
- Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 95% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 87.2% 146.53 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by June 30?No 94.5% 100.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?No 95.5% 66 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 96.6% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 90% 55 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 84.4% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?No 0.8% 10,224.55 shares