Polymarket Trader

LBZone

0xd81fbc5c53593e4e2923a641ff2bc7e2d9866b75

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.73K
Realized PnL: $251.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $46.25K
Potential payout: $46.43K
Potential profit: $185.74
User PnL: $2.31K

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $17.86K
Potential payout: $19.31K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $241.09
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.31K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$314.41

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $32.34
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$47.27

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $568.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: -$1.25K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.8%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $493.37
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $524.7
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$90.84

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $106.59
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$34.48

St. Louis Cardinals position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $360
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $640
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $794.99
Potential profit: $789.03
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $68.04
Potential payout: $647.98
Potential profit: $579.94
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$361.74

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $397.71
Potential profit: $397.71
User PnL: -$37.79

St. Louis Cardinals position

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $272.54
Potential payout: $386.59
Potential profit: $114.04
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $32.49

Over position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 59.1%
Current value: $222.99
Potential payout: $377.3
Potential profit: $154.32
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $26.79

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $349.44
Potential payout: $372.34
Potential profit: $22.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $16.39

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $351.79
Potential profit: $349.15
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $281.76
Potential payout: $350.02
Potential profit: $68.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$22.75

Over position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $171.5
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $178.5
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $46.47
Potential payout: $296.96
Potential profit: $250.49
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$5.79

No position

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $285.57
Potential payout: $290.66
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.18

No position

Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $240.73
Potential payout: $241.94
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $221.81
Potential payout: $234.72
Potential profit: $12.91
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Club ABB win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $47.14
Potential payout: $196.44
Potential profit: $149.29
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $149.01
Potential payout: $159.45
Potential profit: $10.44
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Red Sox position

Astros vs. Red Sox

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.4K

Yes position

Will Udinese Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35K

Yes position

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.79K

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56K

Yes position

Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.25 million and $2.5 million by December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22K

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 375000-400000 vehicles in Q2?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96K

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96K

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38K

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85K

Braves position

Braves vs. Reds

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56K

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.52K

Kansas City Royals position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37K

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.33K

Astros position

Astros vs. Marlins

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21K

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15K

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.72K

Yes position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68K

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 99% 93.88 shares
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 99.9% 3,000 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

No 87% 99.04 shares
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 97.5% 148.06 shares
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

Yes 64% 1,000 shares
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?

No 96.8% 170 shares
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

No 82% 55.31 shares
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

No 15% 14.3 shares
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?

No 96.1% 2,222 shares
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?

No 96.3% 167 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 8,697.26 shares
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Yes 2.1% 317.04 shares