Polymarket Trader

0xOctopus

@0xKeppel

0xd832d1ecb3e88723db5eb9a81a8a227648b267e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $449.62
Realized PnL: $2.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$78.6

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $398.96
Potential payout: $415.37
Potential profit: $16.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1.04

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.82
Potential profit: $258.82
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.07
Potential profit: $149.07
User PnL: -$120

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Rodri: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Canada position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.68
Potential profit: $104.68
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $74.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$4.5

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.59
Potential profit: $98.59
User PnL: -$35

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.66
Potential profit: $89.66
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.25
Potential profit: $68.25
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $65.79
User PnL: -$50

Morocco position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.7
Potential profit: $65.7
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.63
Potential profit: $49.63
User PnL: -$6.45

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.8
Potential profit: $46.8
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $25.15
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $17.95
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.15

Over position

Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.16
Potential profit: $38.16
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.71

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.44

Yes position

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.14

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.6

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.66

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.56

Spain position

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.58

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.4

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.44

No position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.59

Yes position

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.23

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.82

No position

Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.53

Yes position

Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.43

Yes position

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Yes position

RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.31

No position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.43

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.97

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.93

Yes position

Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.86

Yes position

Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.6

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.18

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?

No 38% 5.26 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 96.3% 415.37 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 43.1 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 46.2% 32.43 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 46% 655.55 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 40% 25 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 86.5% 246.91 shares
Mikel Merino: 1+ goals

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 40.5% 246.91 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 45% 55.56 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 25% 40 shares