eltormentas

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $683.78
Potential profit: $683.78
User PnL: -$9.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.59
Potential profit: $448.59
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.32
Potential profit: $333.32
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.74
Potential profit: $318.74
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.55
Potential profit: $177.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.09
Potential profit: $174.09
User PnL: -$29.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.36
Potential profit: $167.36
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.73
Potential profit: $154.73
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.85
Potential profit: $142.85
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.47
Potential profit: $121.47
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.33
Potential profit: $103.33
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.1
Potential profit: $102.1
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.94
Potential profit: $86.94
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.48
Potential profit: $75.48
User PnL: -$3.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 24?