Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $6.37K
- Potential payout
- $7.37K
- Potential profit
- $994.81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$22.81
Polymarket Trader
Strarper
0xd849fbe04a3b6d4861ad1b0bd6be7b75679459d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.64K
- Realized PnL
- $1.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $6.09K
- Potential payout
- $6.44K
- Potential profit
- $347.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$8.19
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$165.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $253
- Potential profit
- $253
- User PnL
- -$238.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.47
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.09
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 October 27-November 2?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.62
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.79
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 87% 69 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 87% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 87% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 86% 400 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 47% 25.64 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 45% 55 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 94.1% 420.39 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 57% 15 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 94.6% 215.05 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 94.5% 10 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 94.4% 253 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No 99.3% 239 shares