Polymarket Trader

jason6666

@bitcoin521520

0xd850621267dd9313d0c8264d0a402966e371b459

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.51K
Realized PnL: $168.9
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $275.6
Potential payout: $755.06
Potential profit: $479.46
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$67.95

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $42.02
Potential payout: $400.23
Potential profit: $358.21
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$162.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.03
Potential payout: $291.43
Potential profit: $275.4
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$85.97

Yes position

Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $208.57
Potential payout: $270.87
Potential profit: $62.3
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$24.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $17.72
Potential payout: $168.75
Potential profit: $151.03
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$122.26

No position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $165.9
Potential payout: $166.15
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $134.59
Potential payout: $134.66
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $128.26
Potential payout: $128.58
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $121.32
Potential payout: $121.38
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $117.62
Potential payout: $117.68
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $117.32
Potential payout: $117.5
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $110.38
Potential payout: $110.44
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $44.1
Potential payout: $91.88
Potential profit: $47.78
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $10.92
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $10.08
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$8.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $75.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.42

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

No position

Will BNB dip to $800 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Citrea launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Citrea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

GLYPH position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will BNB dip to $600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

MVK Esports position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 166.15 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.4% 130.66 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 124.88 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

No 99.8% 110.44 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 104.44 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 134.66 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 117.5 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 130.66 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 128.58 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.4% 131.25 shares
GMGN FDV above $1B one day after launch

No 94% 21 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.7% 108.65 shares