Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $788.26
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $314.2
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$65.09
Polymarket Trader
10gwei
@Andrey_10gwei
0xd85098cba036a409690d829367632ccb949059db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $788.26
- Realized PnL
- $1.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.2
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.61
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $46.99
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $36.78
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.28
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $33.68
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.94
Yes position
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $18.52
No position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $16.31
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $12.99
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $9.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 0.6% 500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.3% 2,500 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?Yes 3.3% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes 8% 40 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 514.38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes 3% 3,185.59 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 10% 600 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No 99.6% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.3% 3,400 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 6?No 14% 4.69 shares