Polymarket Trader

balerinacapuchina

0xd86d87914387111b47355e87aca7c032dbe5648d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $109.81K
Realized PnL: $55.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $70.02K
Potential profit: $68.86K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$33.85K

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $68.86K
Potential payout: $70.02K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $33.85K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $25.94K
Potential payout: $26.09K
Potential profit: $143.48
User PnL: $3.09K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $8.75K
Potential payout: $8.87K
Potential profit: $110.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $44.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $507.79

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $3.04
User PnL: $200.67

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$798.26

No position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $220.1
Potential payout: $221.43
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $14.17

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $46.81
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $12.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41K

Yes position

2025 September second hottest on record?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

No position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

2025 September third hottest on record?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $910

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560.65

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.64

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.5

No position

Israel x Syria security deal before September?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.86

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.24

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.15

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.49

No position

Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Yes 4.1% 664.71 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

No 88.8% 410.24 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

No 91% 400 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

No 90% 1,216.77 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 93.9% 280.83 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 93.8% 2,000 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 93.7% 577.61 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 93.7% 6,085.3 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 93% 138.49 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 86.4% 3,451.32 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 82% 332.72 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 82.8% 2,972.13 shares