Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $165.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $634.8
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$234.8
Polymarket Trader
MetricCipher
0xd871accb62dc87ee234fb5135e5140d3ffc3a133
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65K
- Realized PnL
- $36.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $634.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $165.2
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $234.8
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $79.92
- Potential payout
- $80.16
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $69.48
- Potential payout
- $70.08
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.74
- Potential profit
- $65.74
- User PnL
- -$65.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.4
- Potential payout
- $60.43
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.05
- Potential payout
- $60.08
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59.99
- Potential payout
- $60.02
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59.97
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $59.86
- Potential payout
- $59.98
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $59.86
- Potential payout
- $59.98
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.96
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $44.9
- Potential payout
- $44.94
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.2
- Potential profit
- $40.2
- User PnL
- -$39.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.07
- Potential payout
- $40.09
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $39.9
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.03
- Potential profit
- $30.03
- User PnL
- -$29.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $29.95
- Potential payout
- $30.01
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $29.82
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.98
- Potential profit
- $29.98
- User PnL
- -$29.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.94
- Potential payout
- $29.95
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $29.85
- Potential payout
- $29.94
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $24.93
- Potential payout
- $25.02
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.98
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on June 27?No 99.7% 25.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 27?No 99.3% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?No 99.3% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 27?No 98.8% 20.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 27?No 99.8% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 27?No 99.8% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 27?No 99.7% 24.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on June 27?No 99.9% 24.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 27?No 99% 20.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 27?No 99.3% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?No 99.1% 20.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 27?No 99.3% 19.99 shares