Polymarket Trader

XgangX

0xd87d0e30dddef02cd917dae54e8cf14eae2052f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.18K
Realized PnL: $11.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $380.29
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $6.35K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $30.3

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $118.94
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$81.39

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $790
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $307.35
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $62.76

No position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$144.41

No position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$360

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $970.03
Potential profit: $970.03
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $581.12
Potential payout: $745.02
Potential profit: $163.91
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $543.87

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $584.01
Potential profit: $584.01
User PnL: -$1.76

No position

Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377
Potential profit: $377
User PnL: -$245.05

Nets position

Knicks vs. Nets

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$39

76ers position

Thunder vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$10

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Hornets

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.31
Potential profit: $224.31
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.1

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

No position

Israel strikes Yemen again by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.67
Potential profit: $91.67
User PnL: -$38.5

Suns position

Suns vs. Magic

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.35
Potential profit: $52.35
User PnL: -$24.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $565.54

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $364.8

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $191.14

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.8

Yes position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.19

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.74

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.11

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.25

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Monday?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.2

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.46

No position

Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.63

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.55

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68

No position

Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.2

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.49

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.63

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 5.4% 0.44 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 61% 56 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 11.3% 881.8 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 2.3% 5,001.5 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 4.5% 1,121.38 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 4% 1,250 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 3.8% 2,630.13 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 14% 1,000 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 15% 65 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 13% 769.23 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 9.7% 516.32 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 14% 60 shares