Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.86K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- User PnL
- -$194
Polymarket Trader
0xd8876Aa86ef1F1d9F9e7631F5288b28c7BFab877-1762300537319
0xd8876aa86ef1f1d9f9e7631f5288b28c7bfab877
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $400.18
- Realized PnL
- $13.54K
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $400.18
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$459.81
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$800
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457.91
- Potential profit
- $457.91
- User PnL
- -$75
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $377.36
- Potential profit
- $377.36
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6K
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.09
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$367.8
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$389.99
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$506.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 80% 1,000 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 53% 377.36 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 5% 457.89 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 11.4% 439.61 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 21% 476.19 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.7% 2,137.24 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 28.1% 355.74 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.7% 27.65 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 15.1% 1,326.74 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.1% 23.75 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 22.4% 178.6 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 22.2% 224.77 shares