No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.75
Polymarket Trader
0xd88c...25e7
0xd88c4bafdb2cf60ed0c4650db1088cf4505f25e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $90.47
- Realized PnL
- -$9.14
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $31.79
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $27.12
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.7
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.11
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 15% 11 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 35.9% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 72% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 14% 14 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 84.1% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.4% 8 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 8% 14 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 12 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 63% 7 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 38% 12 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 88% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 12% 17 shares