Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $227.62
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$8.43
Polymarket Trader
Abraa
@StephenReagor
0xd89d640bba7751fc4549dec40269638c0a84a01e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.55K
- Realized PnL
- $118.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.79
- Potential profit
- $75.79
- User PnL
- -$10.61
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $52.47
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $17.71
- Potential payout
- $19.35
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.72
- Potential profit
- $17.72
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.22
- Potential profit
- $15.22
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $13.99
- Potential payout
- $14.13
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $5.72
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.79
No position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.1% 14.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 19.35 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 1,686.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 95% 1,475.79 shares
- Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 1,475.32 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98.8% 52.63 shares
- Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,475.33 shares
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 1,477.34 shares
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?No 84% 5.56 shares
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,477.34 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 90% 38.89 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.7% 1,540.02 shares