John76-

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.18
Potential profit: $40.18
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $14.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $38.15
Potential profit: $28.42
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $7.28

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$23.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.26
Potential profit: $25.26
User PnL: -$13.43

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $24.28
Potential profit: $24.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.15
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.65
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 27.1%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.93
Multiplier: 3.69x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.45
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $13.19
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $18.73

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.53

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?