Over position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Polymarket Trader
Serenequill
0xd8b86435153c21b8a9f897e72c3c44314a8e3380
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.32
- Realized PnL
- -$86.14
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $19.32
- Potential payout
- $22.08
- Potential profit
- $2.76
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.62
- Potential profit
- $10.62
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$38.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 77% 22.08 shares
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver 52% 2,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 1,100.09 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.3% 1,100.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 68.77 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.7% 68.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 37% 166.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 69% 166.67 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 96.4% 7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 82% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?No 28% 10.62 shares