Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $21.77K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.48
Polymarket Trader
traboukos
0xd8bcf0b7c03348686607d6e59abd74edff5967e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.07K
- Realized PnL
- $16.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.83K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $11.37K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $242.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $595
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.41K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$245
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $8.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$358.58
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $3.88K
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $351.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.46K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $143.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $109.73
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- $279
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $221.23
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $105.04
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $283.97
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $62.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$102.25
Panathinaikos position
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$419.34
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $774.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$432
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $865.8
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $34.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $46.8
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $742.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $57.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $13.2
Valencia position
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$512
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$406
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$270
Monaco position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$212
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.99
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926.19
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $813.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.98
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.43
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201
Valencia position
Panathinaikos vs. Valencia
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.99
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.5
No position
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.4
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.72
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 3,000 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 17% 499.99 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 73% 100 shares
- Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel AltmaierHubert Hurkacz 69.1% 88 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 26% 200 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.9% 20,000 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 47% 100 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 68% 100 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 23% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 54% 132.09 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 55% 600 shares