Polymarket Trader

moonety

0xd8c6a646177de74c649dbf8f5d629f5aae02a746

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $670.65
Realized PnL: $453.51
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $670.65
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $582.9
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$169.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Carlos Sainz win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.9
Potential profit: $110.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $42.37
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.69
Potential profit: $36.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.24
Potential profit: $14.24
User PnL: -$2.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.28
Potential profit: $13.28
User PnL: -$8.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.98

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.5

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.52

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.36

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $13.63

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$51.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 67% 1,253.55 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 75% 851.92 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 23.1% 397.97 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 82% 681.66 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 80% 681.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Up 63% 7.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Up 71% 1.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Down 38% 2.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Up 54% 3.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Up 16% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Up 26% 3.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Down 4% 25 shares