Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.97K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Polymarket Trader
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.78K
- Realized PnL
- $39.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $8.91K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- User PnL
- $306.59
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $8.92K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- User PnL
- $464.99
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $8.72K
- Potential payout
- $8.86K
- Potential profit
- $141.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $934.06
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $510.72
- Potential payout
- $6.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $102.14
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $5.38K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $621
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$28.63
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.55K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $450
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $50.02
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $119.89
- Potential payout
- $5.85K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $61.4
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.07K
- Potential payout
- $5.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.9K
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $400.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $131.05
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $110
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $269.27
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.15K
- Potential payout
- $4.69K
- Potential profit
- $539.01
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $254.05
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$220.4
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $209.46
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$19.51
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.5K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $302.15
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $620
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $50.01
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $120.02
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $3.48K
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $171.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $472.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $657.06
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $49.89
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $180.41
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$179.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $177.56
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$83.08
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.54
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $98.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $56.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $925.22
No position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $913.6
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $845.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 75.1% 156.69 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.4% 214.75 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.7% 228.26 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No 93.7% 251.54 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.5% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 54% 106.07 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No 66% 5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 665.57 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 105 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 70.2% 216.54 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 16.9% 200 shares