Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $29.05K
- Potential payout
- $31.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $147.05
Polymarket Trader
crazycary
0xd8d5c4ea4c40789cc215c9695a0b300f27863071
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.17K
- Realized PnL
- $11.64K
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.66K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $727.48
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$128.57
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $463.67
- Potential payout
- $497.24
- Potential profit
- $33.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $13.67
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.19
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.04
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.21
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.57
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.09
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.85
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.69
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.92
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$158.79
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$383.01
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$624.58
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.93K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.27K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.7% 31,109.3 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 90% 333.33 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 250 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 4,301.08 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 5,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 10,752.69 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 10,050 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 800 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 5,376.34 shares