Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $179.45K
- Potential profit
- $177.93K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.58K
Polymarket Trader
ScaryDream
0xd8e5d96b54394c545d930fc31646e9eaf847b808
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.83K
- Realized PnL
- $10.4K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $723.62
- Potential payout
- $18.32K
- Potential profit
- $17.6K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $8.69K
- Potential profit
- $8.67K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$73.18
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $6.03K
- Potential payout
- $6.12K
- Potential profit
- $88.74
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $31.08
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $541.89
- Potential payout
- $638.64
- Potential profit
- $96.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.94
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.41
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.18
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.46
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $316.22
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.11
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.31
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.78
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.44
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
Yes position
Will Tim Cook say "Siri" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 1% 8,686.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 24% 3,999.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26.3% 3,999.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 71.9% 97.59 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 70.2% 29.3 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 69.4% 2,028.36 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 70.1% 818.7 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 67.3% 5,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 60.2% 9,259.47 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 45% 856.97 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 49.5% 2,822.9 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 50.4% 310.2 shares