No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.38
- Potential profit
- $79.38
- User PnL
- -$27
Polymarket Trader
0xd8fA35dE46549e0759cC08fc2f80404B0324D2e4-1769045953975
0xd8fa35de46549e0759cc08fc2f80404b0324d2e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.48
- Realized PnL
- $42.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.61
- Potential profit
- $42.61
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.27
- Potential profit
- $35.27
- User PnL
- -$22.75
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $31.71
- Potential profit
- $21.72
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.1
- Potential profit
- $31.1
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $6.03
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $23.38
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.15
- Potential profit
- $22.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.62
- Potential profit
- $20.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15
- Potential profit
- $17.15
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "NATO" during the next press briefing?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $7.76
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next PMQ?Yes 53% 1.89 shares
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?Yes 31.5% 31.71 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 27.4% 14.6 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 62.9% 7.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 66.1% 30.27 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 35.7% 28.01 shares
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?No 66% 15.15 shares
- Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)No 44% 11.36 shares
- Will Trump say "No No No" this week? (February 8)No 22.6% 22.15 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 51% 3.92 shares