Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $986.55
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $153.97
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $38.25
Polymarket Trader
0xd900Bf582BCA2626A4696E4280924C7d1D7fA592-1763197941086
0xd900bf582bca2626a4696e4280924c7d1d7fa592
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $986.55
- Realized PnL
- $402.11
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.57
- Potential profit
- $74.57
- User PnL
- -$10.44
No position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.6
- Potential profit
- $22.6
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.47
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.15
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.12
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.62
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.39
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.16
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.84
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.95
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$174.75
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$242.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 83.1% 1,140.52 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 99% 963.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 88% 963.25 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.4% 892.11 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 892.12 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 19.6% 1,350.54 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 14.8% 1,350.54 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.8% 783.01 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 58.5% 783.01 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 42% 1,084.58 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 59.8% 50.18 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 58% 1,034.41 shares