No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $56.89K
- Potential payout
- $56.92K
- Potential profit
- $28.46
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Polymarket Trader
0xd905...ad7c
0xd905e9d1f8e8848b9aa1d5383a6efb573c6dad7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $56.89K
- Realized PnL
- $9.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.38
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.29
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.36
No position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.32
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.15
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.92
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.13
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.57
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.7
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.29
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.6% 40,000 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes 99.5% 265 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,228.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,614 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 99.7% 7,169.05 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 76% 606.79 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 96.7% 1,164.26 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.6% 15,000 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 81.5% 868.46 shares
- Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes 96.5% 247 shares
- Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No 96% 333.6 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 96.7% 2,628.67 shares