Polymarket Trader

Dave97 - 39585

0xd907795ee76e6c4fceab28258f2ffdb03244e2fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $223.54
Realized PnL: $800.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.16
Potential profit: $240.16
User PnL: -$15.17

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $34.54
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $185.46
Multiplier: 6.37x
User PnL: $26.44

No position

Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.31

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.01
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $29

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.5

No position

Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11?

Ends Jan 12, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.2

No position

Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.06

Yes position

Will a single person become Time's 2021 Person of the Year?

Ends Dec 13, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.35

Yes position

Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022?

Ends May 20, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.53

No position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022?

Ends Feb 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Yes position

Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)?

Ends Dec 24, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.17

Yes position

Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress?

Ends Jan 4, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.61

Republican position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.27

No position

Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022?

Ends May 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.23

Yes position

Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022?

Ends Apr 29, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.96

Yes position

Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.34

No position

Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022?

Ends May 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.29

No position

Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.35

Yes position

Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.62

No position

Fed rate cut by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

No position

Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

Yes position

Will the price of wheat close above $1070 on May 20, 2022?

Ends May 20, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022?

Ends Jun 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Will there be widespread flooding in LA?

Ends Aug 23, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.71

Yes position

Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 782793.46x
User PnL: $16.27

No position

Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

No position

Fed rate cut by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?

No 67% 20 shares
ECB rate cut in 2025?

Yes 15% 140 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?

Yes 1.9% 90 shares
ECB rate cut in 2025?

Yes 26% 40 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Yes 6% 37.5 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Yes 8% 37.5 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Yes 8% 75 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Yes 10% 75 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Yes 10% 75 shares
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?

Yes 0.3% 142.99 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

No 91.4% 30 shares
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?

Yes 0.4% 213 shares