Polymarket Trader

neckties

@ArdAnaeli32979

0xd907e51e54fb0259b7c46b067451cf9cf3c8f15f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $739
Realized PnL: $3.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$769.42

Blackburn Beavers position

Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $796
Potential profit: $796
User PnL: -$160.79

Under position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $694
Potential payout: $694
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $284.54

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$195

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $611
Potential profit: $611
User PnL: -$262.73

Yes position

Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524
Potential profit: $524
User PnL: -$68.12

Yes position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $255
User PnL: -$33.15

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197
Potential profit: $197
User PnL: -$47.28

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $190.13
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$110.18

No position

Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $96
User PnL: -$32.64

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $13.8
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $75.21
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$15.58

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $17.48
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $58.52
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$9.12

Yes position

Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $734.25

No position

Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.8

Over position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.68

Southern Illinois Salukis position

Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.69

Yes position

Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-01?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $219.19

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.08

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.02

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.17

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 160 and 189 seats?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.36

No position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $79.02

Yes position

Will "Impossible" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.65

No position

Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.45

Yes position

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.77

Yes position

Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.1

Yes position

Will 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.18

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.78

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.23

No position

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.53

No position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.37

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.28

Yes position

Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.79

Yes position

Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.04

No position

Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.12

Yes position

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on April 30?

No 86% 566 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on April 30?

No 87% 566 shares
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?

No 68% 32 shares
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?

No 73% 1,054 shares
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?

No 0.3% 314 shares
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?

No 0.2% 16 shares
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 287 shares
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 1,414 shares
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?

No 65% 31 shares
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 1,701 shares
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?

No 69.9% 330 shares
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?

No 6% 374 shares