Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $11K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $69K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
tkenmn
0xd914d88676771d525f933306390567cdec100d9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.41K
- Realized PnL
- $34.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.93K
- Potential profit
- $79.93K
- User PnL
- -$15.57K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $966.55
- Potential payout
- $77.32K
- Potential profit
- $76.36K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$471.29
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.88K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.52K
- Potential profit
- $30.52K
- User PnL
- -$11K
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.02K
- Potential profit
- $16.02K
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.61K
- Potential profit
- $15.61K
- User PnL
- -$14.09K
Yes position
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.79
- Potential payout
- $15.59K
- Potential profit
- $15.58K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$232.06
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.29K
- Potential profit
- $8.29K
- User PnL
- -$6.8K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $8.2K
- User PnL
- -$4.68K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.99K
- Potential profit
- $7.99K
- User PnL
- -$444
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.73K
- Potential profit
- $7.73K
- User PnL
- -$166.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.47K
- Potential profit
- $7.47K
- User PnL
- -$2.47K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.9K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.89K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
No position
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Yes position
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $9.11
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$90.89
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$116.33
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$122.4
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $866.42
- Potential profit
- $866.42
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5K
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Aryna Sabalenka position
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $979.27
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890.22
Aryna Sabalenka position
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $871.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.35
Yes position
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $497.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.81
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $352.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $344.04
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.75
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.87
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.78
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.96
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $163.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 32.1% 845.01 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?No 9% 566.67 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 50,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 6,250 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?No 21% 416.66 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?No 24% 416.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 97% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 97% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 97% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 97% 300 shares