No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $521.85
- Potential payout
- $735
- Potential profit
- $213.15
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $58.8
Polymarket Trader
WilliamWong5754
0xd91d1592438663060678c64e17da38bbe06891fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $720.47
- Realized PnL
- $2.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.96
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $92.04
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $90.18
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $23.75
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $66.71
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $21.97
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Georgetown Hoyas position
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas (W)
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.64
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $287.84
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.5
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.5
Over position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.6
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.39
No position
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.41
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.98
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.73
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.86
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.43
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.59
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.51
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $47.39
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.32
Yes position
Will Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.56
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $40.88
Yes position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.18
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.88
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.27
Yes position
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 63% 735 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 64% 16 shares
- Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No 71% 22 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 27% 394 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 27% 117 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 0.3% 736 shares
- Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No 44% 741 shares
- Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?No 66% 741 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes 89% 60 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?No 87% 574 shares
- Will BP be acquired before 2027?No 81% 360 shares
- Will BP be acquired before 2027?No 81% 374 shares