No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.67
- Potential profit
- $305.67
- User PnL
- -$286
Polymarket Trader
MadsDorup
0xd92396f751e990c38f27c65ec46bcb9a08e33afe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.62
- Potential profit
- $110.62
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.54
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.61
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.97
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $141.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.46
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.3
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.71
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.3
No position
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.51
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.42
No position
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.66
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.23
No position
Daniel Penny found guilty?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.76
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.73
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.67
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.86
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.54
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $13.14
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $10.32
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 7,142.85 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 117.65 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 82.9% 179 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 98% 227.27 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.9% 8,333.33 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 86.1% 322.55 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 93.2% 438.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 93% 532.58 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 97.4% 318.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 117.65 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 86% 232.56 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 88% 227.27 shares