Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.34
- Potential profit
- $404.34
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Polymarket Trader
xdwd
@erinn92934
0xd92b7db231801e1e01fead424499969a6722cd58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.47
- Realized PnL
- $309.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351
- Potential profit
- $351
- User PnL
- -$3.51
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $3.61
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 2PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 5PM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.74
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Timberwolves position
Bucks vs. Timberwolves
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 0.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 0.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 0.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 5.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No 99.6% 0.29 shares